The rise and rise of short-term lettingPosted: April 4, 2019
Originally published on April 4 as a blog for Inside Housing.
What do you think have been the two fastest-growing forms of housing over the last decade?
The trends since the financial crisis of falling home ownership, declining social renting and surging private renting have only recently shown signs of going into reverse and we’ve also seen the blurring of social and ‘affordable’ housing.
But you would struggle to fit two of the biggest changes highlighted in the 2019 edition of the UK Housing Review (launched on Thursday) into those three traditional categories.
First up is temporary accommodation. The latest stats show there that 82,000 homeless families were living in it in England in the year to June 2018, an increase of 71 per cent since 2011. Of these, 57,000 were in London.
Second is short-term lets through sites like Airbnb. There are no reliable stats on this but the latest data suggests there are now over 77,000 Airbnb listings in London, of which 43,000 are entire homes and 34,000 rooms or shared rooms.
It’s tempting to join the dots between those numbers and see a direct connection between these two forms of short-term letting, especially in London – the more permanent homes that are converted into short-term holiday lets on Airbnb the more temporary accommodation is likely to be needed. Neither of them is necessarily that short term or temporary.
However, the separate characteristics of each are explored in detail in the UK Housing Review. The chapter on homelessness points out that temporary accommodation has been growing twice as fast as homeless acceptances, reflecting the decline of social housing options and the impact of benefit restrictions on access to the private rented sector.
And within that total B&B and out-of-area placements are rising even faster. There were almost 24,000 out-of-borough placements as at June 2018, most of them in London, and that represented 29 per cent of all temporary accommodation, up from 11 per cent in 2011.
A story on the BBC website about Harlow this week represents one of the most extreme examples of this that I’ve seen: Terminus House is just one of several office blocks that have been converted under permitted development that are now ‘home’ to homeless families placed there by London councils.
The other sort of short-term letting has probably risen even faster. Airbnb only launched in 2008 and its growth has been so exponential around the world that it is currently valued at up to £60 bn.
A chapter in the Review by Alasdair Rae assesses the available evidence asks what impact this is having on the rest of the housing market and what we should do about it.
He starts with a note of caution: the mere existence of a listing does not necessarily mean that it has been removed from the private rented sector; and a significant proportion are rooms not entire homes and are not available to let all year round
But argues that if short-term lets are left unregulated ‘there is a real risk of substantial and prolonged loss of neighbourhood amenity, misappropriation of housing stock, and displacement of long-term residents as a result’.
Those risks are especially acute in popular locations like London. As at December 2018, there were 13 boroughs with more than 2,000 Airbnb listings led by Westminster, Tower Hamlets and Hackney.
Westminster had 8,328 listings, 6,164 of which were entire homes. Tower Hamlets had 7,513 listings which could indicate Airbnb is present in 6 per cent of all households in the borough.
Alasdair Rae also looks at Edinburgh, which now has almost 12,000 listings in the city as a whole. In the city centre ward, where 23,000 people living in 13,000 homes, there are now more than 2,000 entire homes listed on Airbnb.
On the Isle of Skye, meanwhile, there are 550 Airbnb listings or one almost one for every ten homes.
That’s a picture that will be familiar in other holiday areas – where holiday lets and second homes were already big issues but lettings sites give landlords an alternative to the private rented sector that can also squeeze out local residents.
Alasdair Rae argues that the Airbnb and the sharing economy can still be a force for good and they are not going away but that we need to find ways to combat the negative effects.
Cities around the world have negotiated local agreements to clamp down on exploitation and limit the time that homes can be let and Airbnb now collects a tourist tax in many cities in France.
He also suggests that local authorities should be able to cap the number of short-term rentals in ‘visitor pressure zones’.
The growth of both these forms of temporary accommodation is of course just part of a bigger problem with the housing system but it is one of the most visible sign of the pressures within it.
As every year, the UK Housing Review is the most comprehensive guide to everything you want to know about housing in England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland, with expert commentary on key issues and the most comprehensive collection of housing statistics you can find anywhere.